Freelance Geopolitical, Event Forecasting Expert
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Job Description
Geopolitical and Event Forecasting Experts evaluating AI-generated predictions about real-world events. Join a YC-backed team conducting cutting-edge AI evaluation projects.
Responsibilities:
- Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts by assessing the accuracy and quality of predictions covering elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events using a provided rubric
Requirements:
- Have at least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research
- Have experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - election modelling, policy impact assessments, or macro scenario analysis
- Are familiar with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies
- Are fluent in English (requirement)
- Have strong analytical and quantitative skills
- Communicate clearly and precisely
Benefits:
- Work directly with a YC-backed team on cutting-edge AI evaluation projects
- Competitive compensation tailored to experience and scope of work
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