Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets
Posted 1hrs ago
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Job Description
Portfolio Manager leading Moreton Capital Partners’ prediction-markets strategy. Owning P&L, risk, portfolio construction, and a global trading team.
Responsibilities:
- Own the prediction markets P&L
- Set strategy, manage risk limits, oversee position sizing, and ensure portfolio compliance with drawdown and exposure parameters across all traders
- Lead idea generation, model validation, live execution, post-trade analysis, and systematic improvement cycles
- Build and manage a team of traders and analysts
- Set research priorities, review work rigorously, and develop talent
- Define and evolve MCP's edge across market making, cross-platform arbitrage, event-driven momentum, statistical modelling on correlated contracts, and alternative data signal development
- Work with engineering to specify and prioritize execution systems, data pipelines, monitoring tools, and low-latency order management infrastructure
- Contribute to investor reporting and, where relevant, capital raising
- Clearly articulate the strategy's edge, risk profile, and performance to institutional audiences
Requirements:
- Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with genuine P&L accountability — not just advisory or model-development roles
- Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, options, or closely related event-resolution domains
- Strong quantitative foundation: probability, Bayesian inference, statistical modelling, and portfolio construction
- Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals
- Clear, substantive engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem — platforms, mechanics, recent resolutions, structural inefficiencies
- Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline
- Experience operating on Polymarket, Kalshi, or equivalent platforms at meaningful scale
- Background in systematic commodity, macro, or multi-asset trading
- Familiarity with analytics and data ecosystems around professional sports and major real-world event categories (politics, macroeconomics, climate)
- Experience with blockchain/DeFi infrastructure relevant to on-chain prediction market platforms
- Prior involvement in fund-level processes: investor relations, risk reporting, or strategy documentation
Benefits:
- Competitive base salary
- Meaningful performance-linked upside
- Participation in MCP's broader success
- Compensation structure and quantum discussed at the offer stage with the right candidate



















