Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets

Posted 1hrs ago

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Job Description

Portfolio Manager leading Moreton Capital Partners’ prediction-markets strategy. Owning P&L, risk, portfolio construction, and a global trading team.

Responsibilities:

  • Own the prediction markets P&L
  • Set strategy, manage risk limits, oversee position sizing, and ensure portfolio compliance with drawdown and exposure parameters across all traders
  • Lead idea generation, model validation, live execution, post-trade analysis, and systematic improvement cycles
  • Build and manage a team of traders and analysts
  • Set research priorities, review work rigorously, and develop talent
  • Define and evolve MCP's edge across market making, cross-platform arbitrage, event-driven momentum, statistical modelling on correlated contracts, and alternative data signal development
  • Work with engineering to specify and prioritize execution systems, data pipelines, monitoring tools, and low-latency order management infrastructure
  • Contribute to investor reporting and, where relevant, capital raising
  • Clearly articulate the strategy's edge, risk profile, and performance to institutional audiences

Requirements:

  • Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with genuine P&L accountability — not just advisory or model-development roles
  • Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, options, or closely related event-resolution domains
  • Strong quantitative foundation: probability, Bayesian inference, statistical modelling, and portfolio construction
  • Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals
  • Clear, substantive engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem — platforms, mechanics, recent resolutions, structural inefficiencies
  • Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline
  • Experience operating on Polymarket, Kalshi, or equivalent platforms at meaningful scale
  • Background in systematic commodity, macro, or multi-asset trading
  • Familiarity with analytics and data ecosystems around professional sports and major real-world event categories (politics, macroeconomics, climate)
  • Experience with blockchain/DeFi infrastructure relevant to on-chain prediction market platforms
  • Prior involvement in fund-level processes: investor relations, risk reporting, or strategy documentation

Benefits:

  • Competitive base salary
  • Meaningful performance-linked upside
  • Participation in MCP's broader success
  • Compensation structure and quantum discussed at the offer stage with the right candidate